Thanks to Antony Green of the AB (friggin’) C (emphasis mine):
The reality of forming government in the newly elected House of Representatives depends on those eight elected members, but the AEC’s total of 2-party preferred vote currently excludes all votes cast in these eight electorates, the eight electorates whose elected members will determine who forms government.
Based upon the published information currently available, the ALP trail the coalition by less than 2,000 votes nationwide, including four seats where the coalition obtained considerably less than 25% of the primary vote. It’s disappointing that the AEC has published such misleading data, but it’s utterly shameful that the nation’s news outlets are pouncing on this. In this situation, a two-party preferred vote is meaningless, and misleading two-party preferred vote even more so.
And now back to your regularly-scheduled programming.